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Falling Down: Sudan Takes Its Place at the Bottom

November 19th, 2009 by C.R.

Each year, Transparency International—a Berlin-based NGO that monitors global graft—releases a Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI), which reports corruption levels throughout the world by assigning the rank and score of surveyed countries.  Each year, Sudan appears, predictably, in the last few spaces of a long list; among the lowest of the low.

Despite its poor performance, Sudan does cling to one key distinction. Unlike even the most desperate states—including many of its struggling and war-torn neighbors—Sudan’s score has consistently dropped over the past five years. Since signing the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA), rather than progress, Sudan has fallen even further behind in terms of what TI’s index measures.

But what exactly is that? Transparency International collects surveys from independent experts, formulates a number on a 10-point scale, and assigns each country a rank based on that (information on their research and methodology can be found here).

More important than the lists and figures is what they indicate. In the case of Sudan, a dismally low and ever-decreasing score reveals that its leaders have failed to translate the country’s natural wealth and considerable international investment into equitable and steady economic progress for all of its people. It has failed to use the opportunities presented by peace negotiations, international aid, and prospective elections to realize essential political reforms and improve the country’s governance.

It’s no surprise, then, that this year Sudan takes its place at #176 of 180 countries, with a score of 1.5 out of 10. Surrounded by headline-makers like Somalia, Myanmar, Afghanistan and Iraq, there, at the end, Sudan enjoys the company of its political and economic peers: the world’s failed and failing states. This seems appropriate; Sudan’s own list of well-documented failures is long: failure to protect its own people, failure to negotiate in good faith, failure to promote peace and justice….it goes on. Lack of transparency and accountability comprise a destructive and pervasive theme – a strategy, even – that defines the dealings of a government with a wanted war criminal at its helm.

As much as Sudan risks becoming a failed state at the hands of its own destructive regime, the vast country has also been failed – by members of the international community, many of which dominate the index’s upper rankings or, like China, have worked hard to improve their own. Implicated in Sudan’s failure are many—from the passive acquiescence of African leaders to his crimes, to the outright denial of these violations in the Arab World; from the empty promises of wealthy Western countries, to the ethical void in Chinese influence. Non-state actors also share the blame: rebel groups, opportunistic bandits, and corporate interests alike work to destabilize and pillage an entire nation for the benefit of the few.

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China’s New Commitments in Khartoum

November 18th, 2009 by Sean Brooks
Zhou Yongkang of the Communist Party of China and<br />Sudanese Vice President Ali Osman Tah meet in Khartoum

Zhou Yongkang of the Communist Party of China andSudanese Vice President Ali Osman Tah meet in Khartoum

Yesterday, while President Barack Obama met with Chinese President Hu Jintao in Beijing, top Sudanese government officials inked a new deal with a visiting Chinese delegation in Khartoum.  Not yet covered by the English-language press, Al-Rai Al-Aam (an Arabic-language Sudanese newspaper that leans heavily to Omar al-Bashir’s National Congress Party) ran a leading story this morning with the headline: “The government welcomes China’s plan for joint cooperation.”

The series of agreements brokered between the two governments comes two days after the announcement of the first non-stop flight between Beijing and Khartoum. The multi-layered package of support will focus cooperation in four areas: energy, infrastructure, agriculture and food, and training and capacity building.  There was also a commitment to develop stronger national ties by opening cultural centers and connecting universities.

Perhaps most importantly, China pledged to work with Sudan to double its oil production and continue to finance large-scale development projects.  To those ends, the two parties signed two loans worth a collective $46 million and a grant of $11 million.

Xinhua reports that senior Communist Party of China (CPC) officials hailed their country’s relations with Sudan in their public comments.  Zhou Yongkang of the CPC said that he was “pleased to see that Sudan has become one of the fast growing economies in Africa and has improved its people’s standards of living while advancing national reconciliation.”

He also stated that:

Sudan has become China’s third largest trade partner in Africa…China is Sudan’s largest trade partner…Zhou said 2009, which also marks the 10th anniversary of an oil cooperation project between the two countries, is an important year in the history of the Chinese-Sudanese friendship.

In order to enhance the bilateral relationship, China and Sudan should promote political mutual trust, deepen their economic and trade cooperation and expand their exchanges.

With this visit, the Chinese delegation has unabashedly affirmed China’s long-term support of the Sudanese government. The fact that this deal was struck while President Obama was in China makes the U.S. presidential silence on Sudan – that Jerry addressed this morning – so much more glaring.

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Presidential Silence in Beijing

November 18th, 2009 by Jerry Fowler

Cross posted from The Huffington Post

Less than a month after his Administration proclaimed in its new strategy for Sudan that “American leadership is essential to a more effective multilateral approach,” President Obama left China early this morning without any public reference to having brought up Sudan with his hosts. There were background statements to journalists that it was on a list of things discussed. Such low-key treatment was a huge missed opportunity to enlist the support for the new strategy from a crucial country. It also was a rejection of the recent, bipartisan plea by 44 Members of Congress:

As you prepare to visit China, we strongly urge you to make Sudan a priority in your bilateral discussions. As you are well aware, China is a major arms supplier and source of economic strength to the regime in Khartoum, and has a vital role to play in any ultimate resolution of the multiple crises in Sudan.

The Congressional letter echoed a petition signed by tens of thousands of citizen-activists who asked for President Obama to call on the Chinese to work with the U.S. and:

Use their economic and political influence with Sudan to support the Darfur peace process, full implementation of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA), and significant structural, political and judicial reforms to Sudan.

The President’s public silence on Sudan in Beijing follows on a similar silence by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on her recent visit to Egypt – another country that is crucial to bringing peace to Sudan. Their failure to raise Sudan publicly in bilateral meetings with key countries sends an unfortunate message to the Sudanese government and other key actors: The United States is not leading for peace in Sudan.

Michael Gerson recently summed up the urgent need for leadership:

Only a president and his secretary of state can insist on boldness.

Absent that insistence, America’s Sudan policy is in a holding pattern, waiting for the next crisis to refocus global attention. Meanwhile, women are raped, with impunity. Weapons are illegally imported, with impunity. Civilians are attacked, with impunity. And at some point, impunity becomes permission.

The “unstinting resolve” that Candidates Obama and Clinton pledged last year is needed now, more than ever.

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Save Darfur Coalition Reacts to President Obama’s Trip to China

November 18th, 2009 by Allen Combs

Statement from Jerry Fowler, president of the Save Darfur Coalition on President Obama’s Trip to China:

President Obama’s public silence on Sudan in Beijing sent an unfortunate message to the Sudanese government and other key actors that he is not willing to lead publicly for peace in Sudan. The Administration’s new Sudan strategy cannot succeed without vigorous multilateral leadership that starts with the President. Tacking Sudan on to a laundry list of items behind closed doors is not that kind of leadership.

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China: Obama’s Test

November 17th, 2009 by Jerry Fowler

Cross posted from The Huffington Post

As President Obama travels to China this week, he unquestionably has a full plate of priorities to discuss with the Chinese government. The economy, trade wars, nuclear proliferation, and security cooperation will all receive significant amounts of attention, as well they should. Some commentators are describing the President’s trip to China as a test of his foreign policy prowess; it will also serve as a test of his dedication to resolving one of the thorniest problems currently plaguing the international community: Sudan.

On October 19th, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, UN Ambassador Susan Rice and Special Envoy for Sudan Scott Gration unveiled the administration’s long-awaited Sudan policy review. In it, the administration asserted that “sustained political will to address Sudan’s tough challenges in the international community is sometimes lacking. American leadership is essential to a more effective multilateral approach.”

President Obama can make good on that promise of American leadership in Beijing. China has a key role to play in bringing peace to Darfur and full implementation of the North-South Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA). No nation holds more leverage over Sudan than does China. Sudan exports 70 percent of its oil (its main source of hard currency) to China, has an extensive military relationship with the Chinese government, and counts on China to veto tough multilateral sanctions at the United Nations on Sudan’s behalf. Yet China has mostly played the role of Khartoum’s “heat shield,” protecting it from international pressures.

If President Obama is serious about his administration’s dedication to building a multilateral coalition to address the crises in Darfur, he could do no better than by starting in Beijing and convincing his hosts that they need to play a more constructive role in building a stable, peaceful Sudan, instead of continuing to blindly stand by a regime headed by an indicted war criminal. But why should China listen? It has always craved greater international respect and an enhanced role for its leadership. Sudan provides an opportunity for China to act as a responsible world power.

But President Obama has a strong argument to make to President Hu Jintao that even China’s narrower self-interests should motivate it to work in concert with the U.S. in Sudan. The reason is clear: China has come to count on access to Sudan’s oil, much of which is in South Sudan, and has invested billions. If the North-South conflict is reignited, as is all too plausible, China could lose access to those oil fields. Even if conflict does not reignite between the North and South, the South will hold a referendum on its independence in January 2011, at which point the world may be dealing with the new republic of South Sudan. It behooves China to have a seat at the table during the run-up to this process so that its oil concessions can be adequately protected during any process of state separation. In short, President Obama has set viable terms for engaging the Khartoum regime, and he should encourage his Chinese counterpart, President Hu Jintao, to join the effort.

When the Chinese recognize that peace in Sudan serves their interests, there are ways in which China can begin to demonstrate to the Sudanese and the world that it is serious. For example, the president should encourage China to condition any debt write-off owed to it by the Government of Sudan or its proxies on concrete and lasting progress on the ground in Darfur and throughout Sudan. The Government of Sudan has accrued $36 billion in debt, owed mostly to multilateral, Western, Chinese, and Arab creditors. Securing debt-relief has become a major priority for the Sudanese government. Darfur activists inside and outside Sudan support debt cancellation as a long-term incentive for Khartoum’s implementation of the CPA, respect for democracy and human rights, and an end to violence in Darfur. But to cancel this odious debt pre-emptively, before the regime has changed its behavior, would not only relinquish an important source of leverage over Khartoum, it would throw good money after bad. China should also refrain from granting any new loans to the Government of Sudan until it meets such conditions as fully cooperating with the peacekeeping force in Darfur (UNAMID), faithfully implementing the CPA, and cooperating with the International Criminal Court.

There is no substitute for President Obama’s leadership if the situation in Sudan is to be successfully resolved. But, as the president’s own policy outlines, it will take an international coalition to prod the Government of Sudan into taking the steps toward peace that the international community has called for, time and time again. If President Obama is serious about creating that coalition, he must start in Beijing, and he must start now. China’s economic leverage in Sudan, used in the right way, is a necessary ingredient to creating a safe and secure Sudan. The afflicted people of Darfur and other disaffected Sudanese will be watching closely to see if President Obama backs his policy pronouncement with action and passes his test in Beijing.

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Civil Society Now: Darfuris Gather in Doha

November 16th, 2009 by Sean Brooks

This week, the African Union/United Nations Chief Mediator Djibril Bassolé will begin consultations with 150 Darfuri civil society representatives in Doha, Qatar.  Rather than focusing on this important gathering though, the media over the weekend strangely focused on the postponement of negotiations between the Sudanese government and the Darfuri rebels.

Those following the process closely knew for weeks that Bassolé and the Qataris were intending to use the remaining weeks of November to consult with Darfuri civil society and the rebel movements – and were not planning to launch direct talks between the rebels and Sudanese government until December.  So this was not really news.  A government-leaning Sudanese newspaper, Al Rai Al Aam, on November 9 even ran a story entitled, “Resumption of the Doha negotiations in December.”

What the media has fundamentally missed is that the gathering of Darfuri civil society is critical to a successful peace process.  The voices and concerns of these local leaders who have not taken up arms merit attention from the press and support from the international community. The most important question that journalists should be asking is whether the Sudanese government this time will allow all Darfuri leaders to leave Sudan and travel to the meetings. Despite all of its recent rhetoric about being ready for peace talks, in May of this year, the government obstructed “the safe passage of Darfurian delegates from Sudan” to the Mandate Darfur conference organized by the Mo Ibrahim Foundation in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. At the time the organizers wrote:

“Despite numerous attempts at engagement with the Sudanese government, including sending a delegation to Khartoum and inviting senior figures to address the conference, we were greatly disappointed that Sudanese security services harassed our delegates, confiscated passports and threatened the conference coordinators in Sudan.  Ultimately, the government has refused to grant exit visas to the delegates making it impossible for the conference to proceed.”

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U.S. Policy of Engagement Extends to International Criminal Court

November 16th, 2009 by Megan Flemming

At a news conference in Nairobi this morning, U.S. Ambassador-at-Large for War Crimes Issues Stephen Rapp announced that the US will participate as an observer in the November 18-26th meeting of the ICC Assembly of States Parties in the Hague. According to reports, Rapp himself will lead the U.S. delegation.

Like all countries which signed the Final Act of the 1998 Rome Conference that established the ICC, the U.S. is entitled to participate as an observer in all intergovernmental ICC meetings, a status which confers all the rights and privileges of any other attendee except voting.

But until today’s announcement, the U.S. has never made use of this right, unlike many other non-states parties, including China and Russia, which have participated as observers in ICC meetings.

The Obama administration – like the Bush administration before it – has already expressed support for the ICC’s investigations into crimes in Darfur. The administration’s recently released Sudan policy includes support for international efforts to bring to justice those responsible for genocide and war crimes in Darfur.

The U.S.’s approach to the Court has steadily warmed since 2005, when the U.S. abstained from voting on — and thereby allow to pass — the United Nations Security Council resolution referring the Darfur situation to the ICC. Today’s announcement follows this trajectory. The U.S. has now taken a notable step beyond supporting investigations of specific atrocity situations and returned to a policy of engagement with the court as a whole. Describing the decision this morning, Ambassador Rapp noted: “we certainly are looking to engage with the ICC to ensure that in places where there are no other avenues for accountability that it will be an effective instrument for ensuring that individuals are brought to justice.”

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How Many Rifles Can an Airbus Hold: China Streamlining Genocide

November 16th, 2009 by Will Fischer
With flights from Khartoum to Beijing running direct, illicit weapons trading finds easier route

With flights from Khartoum to Beijing running direct, illicit weapons trading finds easier route

China, an instrumental supporter of Omar al-Bashir and his murderous regime, proudly announced a new flight direct from Beijing to Khartoum earlier this week. The flight, provided by Hainan Airlines, China’s largest privately-owned air transport company, is launching its maiden direct flight between Beijing and the Sudanese capital next Tuesday. Interestingly, the Beijing-Khartoum flight is Hainan’s second to Africa – the first was a flight to Luanda, Angola…..another of the continent’s top oil-producing countries. These flights are clearly about business.

Additionally, the timing is interesting in terms of the priorities it reveals. Hainan only has one North American destination in service: Seattle. The Khartoum route service coincides with approval to begin a second North American route to Honolulu. That’s two American routes for one Sudanese route….Furthermore Hainan has only two current destinations in Western Europe: Brussels and Berlin, with a bid for Dusseldorf. It has five routes to Russia, no stranger to illicit arms deals with Sudan.

So what’s the big deal? Well, aviation links between China and Sudan deserve extra scrutiny. Why? Because first, the illegal deployment of aviation assets was a major factor in violation of the Sudan arms embargo as cited by the United Nations Panel of Experts report released last month. Further, private companies have been central to these violations, and many have been nonresponsive or uncooperative toward the panel’s inquiries. Finally, the vast majority of ammunition and weapons found in Darfur, POST-EMBARGO, were manufactured by Chinese companies in China. That means that military materiel was illegally transported from China to Sudan somehow.  The report calls for greater transparency and accountability in their movement, citing:

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Winning Legitimacy: What Bashir Seeks in the Elections

November 13th, 2009 by Sean Brooks


President Bashir’s National Congress Party in Sudan is driving for one primary goal: winning the national elections scheduled for April 2010.  All analysis of the NCP’s behavior between now and April should be viewed through this lens.

Bec Hamilton in a blog yesterday sees such motivations behind the NCP’s outrageous suggestion of closing down IDP camps next year:

[T]he NCP sees the 2010 election as a rare chance to start over with a clean the slate in the eyes of its neighbors, if not the broader international community. “Democratically elected Bashir” sounds so much better than “indicted war criminal Bashir.”

But the desire is not just to win the elections (the conditions have already been established such that short of radical changes that I don’t expect to see, I think it’s safe to say they have that one in the bag already). The desire is to be seen as having won them legitimately, which in turn requires convincing anyone who would dare to say otherwise, that the elections will be “free and fair.” The consequences of this desire are seen in several areas, one of which is the aggressive agenda that Khartoum is now pushing on IDP returns.

There is a very real sense in which those in Khartoum view the IDP camps themselves as the problem – as if the camps would disappear, then there would no longer be a “Darfur problem” and the world shift the spotlight. What the regime understands well is that “free and fair elections” and “2.5 million IDPs” are not concepts easily reconciled.

Part of the NCP’s effort, therefore, will be to make the case that the vast majority of Darfuris can participate in the electoral process.  A NCP-leaning newspaper this morning includes the headline, “The Displaced are the highest percentage of registered voters in South Darfur” (link in Arabic). The article claims that in 10 days that 388,000 IDPs have registered to vote.  With no election monitors (domestic or international) working in Darfur, no one will be able to confirm or deny these numbers.

Many are also complaining about the registration process in less troubled areas of the country.  During the first days of registration, the Carter Center “expressed concerns about the obstacles facing election observers.” Since then, the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement and the northern opposition parties have all leveled complaints with the National Election Commission concerning the registration procedures and accusations against the NCP of manipulating the entire process.  Their central demands now are an extension of the voter registration period (which currently is schedule to conclude at the end of the month) and greater independent monitoring.

To prevent President Bashir from using fraudulent elections as a means to re-legitimize his regime both domestically and internationally, the U.S. administration must urgently call on the Sudanese government to create the political environment throughout Sudan necessary for free and fair elections to take place.  And as Bec stated in her blog, the administration must also ensure that the return of IDPs in Darfur take place in a manner consistent with the international standards of “voluntary, safe and dignified.”  They cannot be pushed home just to fit the electoral timeline of President Bashir and the NCP.

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The Untreatable Wounds

November 13th, 2009 by Will Fischer

In recent years Americans have heard a great deal about the “invisible wounds” some people carry with them after a traumatic experience. Whether it’s a story about a returning veteran of the wars in Iraq or Afghanistan, or that of a Katrina survivor, public awareness of invisible wounds has increased considerably over the past few years.

As someone who has dealt with the invisible wounds of war, both personally and with comrades, I cannot even begin to imagine the difficulties faced by untreated victims of the genocide in Darfur and Sudan.

In today’s Washington Post, Michael Gerson pens an article that tells some of these very troubling tales:

On May 15, a woman near the Al Hamadiya camp in Zalingei was collecting firewood. Three armed men in khaki uniforms raped her, stabbed her in the leg, inflicted genital injuries and left her bleeding. She spent 45 days in the hospital. In 2003, the same woman was raped and shot while fleeing her village.

Her story is in a recent, exhaustive, chilling report on Sudan written by a panel of experts at the United Nations. A U.N. official told me, “We have not talked to a single woman [in Darfur] who has not stated that sexual violence is their first concern.” The panel documented sexual assaults against pregnant women and 12-year-old girls. Prosecutions are nonexistent. Local officials are indifferent.

The crisis in Darfur is anything but over. If anything, aid from the world is needed now more than ever.

We must not allow war criminal Omar al-Bashir and his deadly regime to outlast our resolve. We must not allow our care to fade; our spirit to be broken; or our commitment to be anything but stalwart. We must, in chorus-as fellow humans, demand from our leaders a new day in Sudan.

We have to demand that our leaders deal with the invisible wounds.

Donate Now to the Save Darfur Coalition

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